05/21/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 1:08:53 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:25
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2777748027?t=02h46m52s @ 10012s
Balance Analysis
Based on 167 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 19
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 36 · 55% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Draiden
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Gold I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 95 · 63% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 136 · 69% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Silver I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 30 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 206 · 77% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 4 | 7 | 6 | 67 | -5.3 | 62 | 167 |
| ADC THIRD | Draiden C | Ishtar | 9 | 5 | 4 | 86 | -1.3 | 85 | 26 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Agni | 3 | 5 | 6 | -103 | -4.3 | -107 | 96 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Thor | 2 | 8 | 2 | 37 | -7.4 | 30 | 81 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Sylvanus | 0 | 6 | 7 | 189 | -4.5 | 185 | 112 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Tsukuyomi | 11 | 3 | 12 | 138 | +7.4 | 145 | 85 |
| ADC | Tricky | Anhur | 5 | 5 | 11 | -72 | +2.9 | -69 | 37 |
| MID | Boolougames | Zeus | 0 | 6 | 7 | 82 | +1.8 | 84 | 82 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C TOP DMG | Bellona | 12 | 2 | 9 | 47 | +9.9 | 57 | 155 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | i cant read | Athena | 3 | 2 | 13 | -13 | +9.7 | -3 | 41 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| MID | Kryooo | Diamond I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo II |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | OSteg | Silver III | Silver I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- i cant read: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- RogueThrone [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- RogueThrone [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- OSteg [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight
- Draiden [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- Draiden [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight