CHAOS WIN
05/21/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 1:08:53 PM
Kills
18 – 31
MVP · best KDA
Jonhy0700 12/2/9
Biggest Elo gain
Jonhy0700 +9.9
Biggest Elo drop
OSteg -7.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 167 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 19
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 36 · 55% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Draiden
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Gold I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 95 · 63% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 136 · 69% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Silver I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 30 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 206 · 77% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 18 kills Team Δ -22.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 4/7/6 | 1.43 | 67 | ▼ -5.3 | 61 | 167 | |
| ADC THIRD | Draiden C | 9/5/4 | 2.60 | 86 | ▼ -1.3 | 85 | 26 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 3/5/6 | 1.80 | -103 | ▼ -4.3 | -107 | 96 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 2/8/2 | 0.50 | 37 | ▼ -7.4 | 30 | 81 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 0/6/7 | 1.17 | 189 | ▼ -4.5 | 185 | 112 |
CHAOS (WIN) 31 kills Team Δ +31.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 11/3/12 | 7.67 | 138 | ▲ +7.4 | 145 | 85 | |
| ADC | Tricky | 5/5/11 | 3.20 | -72 | ▲ +2.9 | -69 | 37 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 0/6/7 | 1.17 | 82 | ▲ +1.8 | 84 | 82 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 MVP C TOP DMG | 12/2/9 | 10.50 | 47 | ▲ +9.9 | 57 | 155 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | i cant read | 3/2/13 | 8.00 | -13 | ▲ +9.7 | -3 | 41 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| MID | Kryooo | Diamond I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo II |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | OSteg | Silver III | Silver I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- i cant read: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- RogueThrone [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- RogueThrone [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- OSteg [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight
- Draiden [weak3n_said]: the three of you who stayed on that fire are all fucking dense
- Draiden [shitter]: stayed on fire after being told to fight