CHAOS WIN
05/21/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 12:33:43 PM
Kills
29 – 38
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 6/4/22
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +7.0
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -7.4
Balance Analysis
Based on 165 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 78
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Silver III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
ADC
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit III
ADC
Dog Shit II
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 116 · 66% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold II
MID
Gold I
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 62 · 59% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Silver I
SUPPORT
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Bronze III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 189 · 75% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (LOSS) 29 kills Team Δ -20.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 7/12/6 | 1.08 | 81 | ▼ -7.4 | 74 | 165 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C TOP DMG | 13/4/7 | 5.00 | 45 | ▼ -0.8 | 44 | 153 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 2/7/9 | 1.57 | -96 | ▼ -5.5 | -101 | 94 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | 7/7/6 | 1.86 | -62 | ▼ -2.2 | -64 | 35 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | 0/8/10 | 1.25 | 29 | ▼ -4.6 | 25 | 37 |
CHAOS (WIN) 38 kills Team Δ +23.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C | 13/6/16 | 4.83 | 127 | ▲ +5.0 | 132 | 83 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 5/9/9 | 1.56 | -26 | ▲ +1.5 | -24 | 39 | |
| MID | Boolougames MVP | 6/4/22 | 7.00 | 67 | ▲ +6.8 | 74 | 80 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 9/7/11 | 2.86 | 32 | ▲ +3.0 | 35 | 79 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 5/5/22 | 5.40 | 189 | ▲ +7.0 | 196 | 110 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Dog Shit III | Dog Shit II |
| MID | Kryooo | Diamond II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold II | Gold I |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC