CHAOS WIN
UPSET
04/05/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:13:05 PM
Kills
36 – 43
MVP · best KDA
Jigann 6/6/24
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +11.1
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -10.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 57 prior matchesORDER
58% win prob
Δ 55
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
42% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 25 · 54% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 166 · 72% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 63 · 59% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 73 · 60% favored
Jigann
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 36 kills Team Δ -31.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 13/13/9 | 1.69 | 48 | ▼ -10.5 | 38 | 55 | |
| ADC | Kryooo TOP DMG | 9/8/8 | 2.13 | 19 | ▼ -8.4 | 11 | 30 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 7/7/17 | 3.43 | 101 | ▼ -5.5 | 95 | 25 | |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg C | 3/7/15 | 2.57 | 14 | ▼ -3.1 | 11 | 31 | |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 4/8/23 | 3.38 | 77 | ▼ -4.2 | 72 | 32 |
CHAOS (WIN) 43 kills Team Δ +34.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 11/7/17 | 4.00 | 87 | ▲ +7.0 | 94 | 57 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 7/8/10 | 2.13 | -4 | ▲ +3.7 | 0 | 8 | |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone C | 8/9/18 | 2.89 | -100 | ▲ +5.0 | -95 | 33 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer | 11/6/15 | 4.33 | 12 | ▲ +8.0 | 20 | 27 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann MVP | 6/6/24 | 5.00 | -13 | ▲ +11.1 | -2 | 12 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jigann | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber I | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT