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04/24/2026 · Match #65 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2740991718?t=3h21m24s @ 12084s

Balance Analysis

Based on 61 prior matches
ORDER
188
68% win prob
Δ 128
Favored UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
60
32% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -95.5

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SUPPORT SECONDARY sillyslother Sylvanus 4 8 23 188 -20.1 168 36
ADC SECONDARY Kryooo Xbalanque 9 8 8 129 -17.7 111 34
JUNGLE SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Nemesis 13 13 9 313 -16.9 296 58
MID Boolougames Discordia 7 7 17 184 -22.2 162 26
SOLO SECONDARY OSteg Achilles 3 7 15 126 -18.6 108 31

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +120.2

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Nut 11 7 17 298 +23.4 321 61
MID THIRD RogueThrone Agni 8 9 18 -40 +25.3 -15 36
SUPPORT Jigann Athena 6 6 24 -78 +25.5 -52 16
SOLO SECONDARY Riptzer Sun Wukong 11 6 15 98 +26.5 125 28
ADC i cant read Rama 7 8 10 22 +19.5 41 8

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
126
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
122
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT Jigann -78
ADC Kryooo 129
JUNGLE Weak3n 298
MID Boolougames 184
SOLO Riptzer 98

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SUPPORT sillyslother 188
ADC i cant read 22
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 313
MID RogueThrone -40
SOLO OSteg 126

What changed vs actual draft