04/24/2026 · Match #57 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=2h32m20s @ 9140s
Balance Analysis
Based on 53 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -52.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 4 | 3 | 6 | 309 | -14.3 | 295 | 53 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Edgewing | Merlin | 0 | 7 | 3 | -53 | -8.3 | -61 | 9 |
| MID THIRD | Tricky | Ra | 2 | 6 | 4 | 70 | -9.8 | 61 | 15 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ne Zha | 2 | 8 | 2 | 147 | -11.2 | 136 | 22 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Cupid | 2 | 7 | 3 | 121 | -8.5 | 112 | 27 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +104.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | sillyslother | Odin | 7 | 2 | 12 | 151 | +22.9 | 174 | 33 |
| ADC NEW | Vayu | Apollo | 8 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +20.3 | 29 | 2 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Nemesis | 10 | 1 | 6 | 78 | +24.1 | 102 | 31 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Artio | 2 | 2 | 7 | 207 | +20.9 | 228 | 50 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 4 | 3 | 13 | 139 | +16.7 | 156 | 21 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 78 |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | 207 |
| MID | Boolougames | 139 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 151 |
| ADC | Vayu | 9 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 309 |
| SOLO | Edgewing | -53 |
| MID | Tricky | 70 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 147 |
| ADC | OSteg | 121 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Vayu: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC