04/23/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:45:58 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 23:36
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=2h32m20s @ 9140s
Balance Analysis
Based on 49 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 17
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Gold III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 67 · 60% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Vayu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Tricky
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 104 · 65% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Gold I
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Silver III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Gold III
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -28.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 4 | 3 | 6 | 93 | -1.3 | 91 | 49 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | Cupid | 2 | 7 | 3 | 17 | -6.2 | 11 | 27 |
| MID SECONDARY | Tricky C | Ra | 2 | 6 | 4 | -11 | -4.4 | -15 | 11 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing | Merlin | 0 | 7 | 3 | -37 | -8.2 | -45 | 8 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ne Zha | 2 | 8 | 2 | 24 | -8.5 | 15 | 21 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | Nemesis | 10 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +10.2 | 11 | 27 |
| ADC NEW | Vayu | Apollo | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | +5.5 | 5 | 0 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 4 | 3 | 13 | 83 | +3.3 | 87 | 20 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Artio | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | +3.1 | 20 | 47 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Odin | 7 | 2 | 12 | 68 | +6.5 | 75 | 29 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | Poo Poo III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Edgewing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Bronze II | Silver III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Vayu | rookie | |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber III | Amber I |
| MID | sillyslother | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Vayu: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Edgewing [shitter]: bad merlin solo build