04/23/2026 · Match #54 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:42:05 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=0h16m51s @ 1011s
Balance Analysis
Based on 50 prior matchesORDER
37% win prob
Δ 89
Favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
63% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +135.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jalopy TOP DMG | Cupid | 11 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +40.3 | 47 | 5 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Riptzer | Cerberus | 3 | 3 | 15 | 97 | +25.4 | 122 | 19 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo C | Nemesis | 4 | 4 | 15 | 54 | +22.1 | 76 | 28 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 9 | 2 | 10 | 79 | +28.6 | 108 | 18 |
| SOLO NEW | Killermatrix27 | Osiris | 6 | 5 | 10 | 0 | +18.7 | 19 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -65.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Anubis | 2 | 5 | 8 | 293 | -12.4 | 281 | 50 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Edgewing | Sobek | 1 | 6 | 8 | -41 | -11.8 | -53 | 8 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | Cernunnos | 4 | 8 | 7 | 83 | -14.3 | 69 | 12 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Thanatos | 5 | 8 | 7 | 217 | -14.1 | 203 | 47 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Artemis | 4 | 6 | 7 | 133 | -12.2 | 121 | 26 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | OSteg | 133 |
| SUPPORT | Edgewing | -41 |
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 217 |
| MID | Boolougames | 79 |
| SOLO | Tricky | 83 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jalopy | 7 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 97 |
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 54 |
| MID | Weak3n | 293 |
| SOLO | Killermatrix27 | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Tricky: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Edgewing [shitter]: bad sobek game play and bad build
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: "Ayo you are fuckin high as shit"
- OSteg [shitter]: backed early after phoenix body blocking his team into death