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04/23/2026 · Match #54 · Conquest CONFIRMED

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Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:42:05 PM

ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=0h16m51s @ 1011s

Balance Analysis

Based on 50 prior matches
ORDER
48
37% win prob
Δ 89
Favored UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
137
63% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +135.1

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC OFF-ROLE Jalopy TOP DMG Cupid 11 2 7 7 +40.3 47 5
SUPPORT SECONDARY Riptzer Cerberus 3 3 15 97 +25.4 122 19
JUNGLE Kryooo C Nemesis 4 4 15 54 +22.1 76 28
MID Boolougames Eset 9 2 10 79 +28.6 108 18
SOLO NEW Killermatrix27 Osiris 6 5 10 0 +18.7 19 0

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -65.0

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
MID OFF-ROLE Weak3n Anubis 2 5 8 293 -12.4 281 50
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE Edgewing Sobek 1 6 8 -41 -11.8 -53 8
SOLO SECONDARY Tricky Cernunnos 4 8 7 83 -14.3 69 12
JUNGLE THIRD Jonhy0700 C Thanatos 5 8 7 217 -14.1 203 47
ADC OFF-ROLE OSteg Artemis 4 6 7 133 -12.2 121 26

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
94
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
90
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC OSteg 133
SUPPORT Edgewing -41
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 217
MID Boolougames 79
SOLO Tricky 83

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
ADC Jalopy 7
SUPPORT Riptzer 97
JUNGLE Kryooo 54
MID Weak3n 293
SOLO Killermatrix27 rookie

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags