04/23/2026 · Match #51 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2742568833?t=0h48m28s @ 2908s
Balance Analysis
Based on 47 prior matchesORDER
36% win prob
Δ 102
Favored
CHAOS
64% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -52.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | Ratatoskr | 16 | 13 | 9 | 16 | -10.1 | 6 | 31 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jigann | Loki | 7 | 13 | 26 | -7 | -9.8 | -17 | 10 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | Hades | 6 | 14 | 17 | 72 | -9.8 | 63 | 16 |
| MID NEW | i cant read | Hou Yi | 19 | 11 | 12 | 10 | -11.1 | -1 | 4 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Boolougames | Agni | 5 | 7 | 26 | 116 | -11.7 | 105 | 16 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +67.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT THIRD | Weak3n | Ymir | 14 | 9 | 26 | 276 | +15.5 | 291 | 47 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Anhur | 9 | 13 | 14 | 155 | +9.9 | 165 | 29 |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | Yemoja | 6 | 11 | 34 | -20 | +13.2 | -7 | 9 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Mordred | 18 | 9 | 24 | 199 | +13.1 | 212 | 44 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Baron Samedi | 11 | 11 | 25 | 110 | +15.7 | 126 | 23 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | 16 |
| JUNGLE | OSteg | 110 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | 72 |
| MID | iRoFFLe | -20 |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | 276 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 199 |
| JUNGLE | Jigann | -7 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | 155 |
| MID | i cant read | 10 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 116 |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT