04/23/2026 · Match #43 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
Balance Analysis
Based on 40 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 44
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
56% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +113.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Cerberus | 3 | 2 | 23 | 168 | +36.5 | 204 | 40 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | Osiris | 8 | 5 | 16 | 75 | +21.4 | 96 | 10 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 10 | 6 | 9 | -26 | +17.0 | -9 | 29 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Riptzer | Nu Wa | 12 | 10 | 17 | 40 | +18.3 | 58 | 13 |
| JUNGLE NEW | KevinJones | Mercury | 12 | 5 | 14 | 0 | +20.0 | 20 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -65.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Jigann | Pele | 5 | 6 | 14 | -21 | -12.6 | -34 | 6 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Anhur | 3 | 9 | 10 | 145 | -14.5 | 131 | 25 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Nemesis | 5 | 10 | 14 | 96 | -11.2 | 84 | 24 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Agni | 4 | 11 | 5 | 186 | -13.5 | 173 | 39 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Boolougames | Janus | 11 | 9 | 7 | 71 | -13.9 | 58 | 9 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Kryooo | 96 |
| SOLO | Tricky | 75 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 186 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 40 |
| JUNGLE | Jigann | -21 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| MID | Weak3n | 168 |
| SOLO | sillyslother | 145 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -26 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 71 |
| JUNGLE | KevinJones | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Kryooo: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Jigann: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE