04/09/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:57:01 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:38
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2744166370?t=1h42m7s @ 6127s
Balance Analysis
Based on 36 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Silver III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 70 · 60% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze II
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
MID
Dog Shit III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Boolougames
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +31.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Da Ji | 9 | 4 | 13 | 61 | +5.6 | 67 | 36 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Kali | 5 | 5 | 7 | -91 | +2.4 | -89 | 26 |
| MID | OSteg | Anubis | 7 | 6 | 14 | 1 | +3.5 | 4 | 21 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | Eset | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | +2.6 | 30 | 8 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Ganesha | 0 | 1 | 12 | -11 | +17.6 | 6 | 12 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -24.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Fenrir | 10 | 7 | 3 | 69 | -7.5 | 62 | 21 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Rama | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | -2.4 | 20 | 20 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -3.6 | -1 | 8 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Hua Mulan | 0 | 9 | 8 | 3 | -6.9 | -4 | 36 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jigann C | Hun Batz | 1 | 5 | 11 | -7 | -4.6 | -12 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Riptzer | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Gold III | Silver II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Bronze II | Bronze II |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Boolougames | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE