04/23/2026 · Match #42 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2744166370?t=1h49m53s @ 6593s
Balance Analysis
Based on 39 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 42
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
56% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +107.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n | Da Ji | 9 | 4 | 13 | 144 | +23.8 | 168 | 39 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | RogueThrone | Kali | 5 | 5 | 7 | -44 | +18.6 | -26 | 28 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | Ganesha | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +26.9 | 40 | 12 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 5 | 5 | 7 | 56 | +15.5 | 71 | 8 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Anubis | 7 | 6 | 14 | 70 | +23.0 | 93 | 21 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -68.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID SECONDARY | Jigann | Hun Batz | 1 | 5 | 11 | -7 | -14.1 | -21 | 5 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Fenrir | 10 | 7 | 3 | 158 | -12.3 | 145 | 24 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | DeltaJulz613 | Morgan Le Fay | 3 | 3 | 10 | -15 | -13.5 | -28 | 8 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | Rama | 7 | 2 | 5 | 111 | -15.2 | 96 | 23 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Hua Mulan | 0 | 9 | 8 | 200 | -13.4 | 186 | 38 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 200 |
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | -44 |
| SOLO | DeltaJulz613 | -15 |
| MID | Boolougames | 56 |
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 158 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 144 |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | 111 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | 13 |
| MID | Jigann | -7 |
| JUNGLE | OSteg | 70 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE