05/25/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 3:00:55 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 41:17
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2780958772?t=03h19m31s @ 11971s
Balance Analysis
Based on 175 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 27
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 67 · 60% favored
Dylan1887
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
ADC
Dog Shit II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 30 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Amber II
MID
Dest
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 104 · 65% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
CashoutSinai
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 51 · 57% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Poo Poo I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +32.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone C | Loki | 12 | 9 | 11 | -109 | +3.0 | -106 | 102 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | Cernunnos | 19 | 5 | 12 | 154 | +7.6 | 162 | 120 |
| MID | Dest TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 12 | 6 | 18 | 12 | +5.7 | 18 | 10 |
| SOLO NEW | CashoutSinai | Osiris | 2 | 4 | 21 | -8 | +7.8 | 0 | 2 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Yemoja | 5 | 6 | 28 | -16 | +8.2 | -8 | 36 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -26.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Dylan1887 | Ratatoskr | 11 | 11 | 7 | 0 | -6.8 | -7 | 0 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Izanami | 12 | 10 | 9 | 53 | -2.6 | 50 | 175 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 3 | 9 | 10 | 107 | -8.3 | 99 | 87 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C | Morgan Le Fay | 4 | 10 | 12 | 16 | -3.2 | 13 | 84 |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Sylvanus | 0 | 10 | 15 | -6 | -5.4 | -11 | 19 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | CashoutSinai | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Dog Shit I | Poo Poo II |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dylan1887 | rookie | |
| ADC | GTboss94 | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Silver I | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- CashoutSinai: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- GTboss94: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT