ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/25/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 3:00:55 PM
Kills
50 – 30
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 19/5/12
Biggest Elo gain
iRoFFLe +8.2
Biggest Elo drop
Boolougames -8.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 175 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 27
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 67 · 60% favored
Dylan1887
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Dog Shit II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 30 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Amber II
MID
Dest
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 104 · 65% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
CashoutSinai
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 51 · 57% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (WIN) 50 kills Team Δ +32.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone C | 12/9/11 | 2.56 | -109 | ▲ +3.0 | -106 | 102 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer MVP | 19/5/12 | 6.20 | 154 | ▲ +7.6 | 162 | 120 | |
| MID | Dest TOP DMG | 12/6/18 | 5.00 | 12 | ▲ +5.7 | 18 | 10 | |
| SOLO NEW | CashoutSinai | 2/4/21 | 5.75 | -8 | ▲ +7.8 | 0 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 5/6/28 | 5.50 | -16 | ▲ +8.2 | -8 | 36 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 30 kills Team Δ -26.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Dylan1887 | 11/11/7 | 1.64 | 0 | ▼ -6.8 | -7 | 0 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 12/10/9 | 2.10 | 53 | ▼ -2.6 | 50 | 175 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 3/9/10 | 1.44 | 107 | ▼ -8.3 | 99 | 87 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C | 4/10/12 | 1.60 | 16 | ▼ -3.2 | 13 | 84 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | 0/10/15 | 1.50 | -6 | ▼ -5.4 | -11 | 19 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | CashoutSinai | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Dog Shit I | Poo Poo II |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian III | Master III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dylan1887 | rookie | |
| ADC | GTboss94 | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Silver I | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- CashoutSinai: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- GTboss94: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT