ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/20/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/21/2026, 1:36:01 PM
Kills
36 – 22
MVP · best KDA
RogueThrone 11/3/21
Biggest Elo gain
RogueThrone +11.9
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -9.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 160 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 73
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
60% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 87 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Sink
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 121 · 67% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 36 kills Team Δ +36.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 16/5/12 | 5.60 | 33 | ▲ +6.5 | 40 | 149 | |
| ADC THIRD | Sink | 4/6/7 | 1.83 | 15 | ▲ +2.2 | 17 | 17 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone MVP TOP DMG | 11/3/21 | 10.67 | -93 | ▲ +11.9 | -82 | 90 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 3/3/21 | 8.00 | 15 | ▲ +10.6 | 25 | 75 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Tricky | 2/5/15 | 3.40 | -69 | ▲ +5.1 | -64 | 33 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -32.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 4/8/6 | 1.25 | 102 | ▼ -9.8 | 92 | 160 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 8/5/4 | 2.40 | -11 | ▼ -4.7 | -16 | 35 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 3/8/8 | 1.38 | 77 | ▼ -9.1 | 68 | 77 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | 5/6/9 | 2.33 | -7 | ▼ -4.8 | -12 | 9 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | 2/9/9 | 1.22 | 104 | ▼ -3.9 | 100 | 79 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo II |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | Sink | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Sink: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- i cant read [weak3n_said]: what are we doin brother