05/20/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/21/2026, 1:36:01 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:45
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2776993939?t=01h00m34s @ 3634s
Balance Analysis
Based on 160 prior matchesORDER
40% win prob
Δ 73
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
60% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 87 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Sink
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 121 · 67% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +36.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Thanatos | 16 | 5 | 12 | 33 | +6.5 | 40 | 149 |
| ADC THIRD | Sink | Izanami | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | +2.2 | 17 | 17 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone TOP DMG | Ah Puch | 11 | 3 | 21 | -93 | +11.9 | -82 | 90 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Baron Samedi | 3 | 3 | 21 | 15 | +10.6 | 25 | 75 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Tricky | Sylvanus | 2 | 5 | 15 | -69 | +5.1 | -64 | 33 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -32.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 4 | 8 | 6 | 102 | -9.8 | 92 | 160 |
| ADC | i cant read | Ullr | 8 | 5 | 4 | -11 | -4.7 | -16 | 35 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 3 | 8 | 8 | 77 | -9.1 | 68 | 77 |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Achilles | 5 | 6 | 9 | -7 | -4.8 | -12 | 9 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | Ymir | 2 | 9 | 9 | 104 | -3.9 | 100 | 79 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo II |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | Sink | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Sink: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- i cant read [weak3n_said]: what are we doin brother