CHAOS WIN
05/20/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/21/2026, 1:25:27 PM
Kills
39 – 37
MVP · best KDA
Tricky 14/4/15
Biggest Elo gain
Kryooo +9.3
Biggest Elo drop
SSaiyanBlu -5.9
Balance Analysis
Based on 159 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 76
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 11% Order / 89% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 79 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Poo Poo III
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 114 · 66% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 30 · 54% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
onetimemite5084
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 39 · 56% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 39 kills Team Δ -19.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 9/6/17 | 4.33 | 37 | ▼ -3.8 | 33 | 148 | |
| ADC | Tricky MVP TOP DMG | 14/4/15 | 7.25 | -67 | ▼ -2.2 | -69 | 32 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 8/5/16 | 4.80 | -90 | ▼ -3.4 | -93 | 89 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu C | 6/9/16 | 2.44 | -1 | ▼ -5.9 | -7 | 8 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | onetimemite5084 | 2/13/17 | 1.46 | 2 | ▼ -4.1 | -2 | 3 |
CHAOS (WIN) 37 kills Team Δ +23.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/6/13 | 3.50 | 98 | ▲ +4.2 | 102 | 159 | |
| ADC | i cant read C | 14/10/5 | 1.90 | -14 | ▲ +2.6 | -11 | 34 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 11/9/16 | 3.00 | 73 | ▲ +3.6 | 77 | 76 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 4/9/21 | 2.78 | 11 | ▲ +3.9 | 15 | 74 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 0/5/27 | 5.40 | 94 | ▲ +9.3 | 104 | 78 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | onetimemite5084 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Poo Poo III |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum III |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- onetimemite5084: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- Tricky: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE