05/19/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:39 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 27:04
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2776189319?t=00h40m48s @ 2448s
Balance Analysis
Based on 155 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 41
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Dog Shit II
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 26 · 54% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Gold III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 113 · 66% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +33.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Kali | 6 | 5 | 13 | 96 | +2.4 | 98 | 74 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | Izanami | 6 | 1 | 11 | 29 | +10.3 | 39 | 144 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Ra | 10 | 1 | 13 | 60 | +14.6 | 74 | 32 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Ah Puch | 9 | 4 | 13 | -96 | +3.7 | -92 | 87 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Sylvanus | 1 | 7 | 20 | 82 | +2.6 | 84 | 22 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -33.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 9 | 7 | 6 | 110 | -4.1 | 106 | 155 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | Ishtar | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -8.1 | 9 | 71 |
| MID | Boolougames C | Zeus | 3 | 6 | 7 | 76 | -5.6 | 70 | 72 |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Bellona | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -11.3 | -1 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ares | 2 | 6 | 8 | 161 | -4.4 | 157 | 105 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SSaiyanBlu | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Bronze II |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Silver I |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE