ORDER WIN
UPSET
05/19/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:39 PM
Kills
32 – 18
MVP · best KDA
ItzStallone 10/1/13
Biggest Elo gain
ItzStallone +14.6
Biggest Elo drop
SSaiyanBlu -11.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 155 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 41
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Dog Shit II
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 26 · 54% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Gold III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 113 · 66% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +33.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 6/5/13 | 3.80 | 96 | ▲ +2.4 | 98 | 74 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | 6/1/11 | 17.00 | 29 | ▲ +10.3 | 39 | 144 | |
| MID | ItzStallone MVP | 10/1/13 | 23.00 | 60 | ▲ +14.6 | 74 | 32 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 9/4/13 | 5.50 | -96 | ▲ +3.7 | -92 | 87 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 1/7/20 | 3.00 | 82 | ▲ +2.6 | 84 | 22 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 18 kills Team Δ -33.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 9/7/6 | 2.14 | 110 | ▼ -4.1 | 106 | 155 | |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg | 2/5/4 | 1.20 | 17 | ▼ -8.1 | 9 | 71 | |
| MID | Boolougames C | 3/6/7 | 1.67 | 76 | ▼ -5.6 | 70 | 72 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | 2/8/4 | 0.75 | 10 | ▼ -11.3 | -1 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 2/6/8 | 1.67 | 161 | ▼ -4.4 | 157 | 105 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SSaiyanBlu | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Bronze II |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Silver I |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE