05/18/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/19/2026, 2:05:44 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by ORDER · Length: 21:21
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2775409914?t=04h14m47s @ 15287s
Balance Analysis
Based on 153 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 13 · 52% favored
Draiden
OVR
Platinum III
JUNGLE
Platinum III PLACEMENT
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Poo Poo I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 14 · 52% favored
Eclipse feeds
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dog Shit III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian I
SOLO
Amber II
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
InspectorCody
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -27.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | Eset | 3 | 3 | 2 | 122 | -2.2 | 119 | 153 |
| ADC | Tricky F6er | Artemis | 1 | 5 | 1 | -57 | -9.4 | -67 | 31 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone F6er | Scylla | 3 | 2 | 2 | -92 | -1.5 | -93 | 85 |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer F6er | Sol | 0 | 5 | 1 | 174 | -11.3 | 163 | 103 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | OSteg F6er | Ymir | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -2.7 | 15 | 69 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Draiden STOMPER | Ratatoskr | 6 | 0 | 6 | 84 | +10.1 | 94 | 19 |
| ADC NEW | Eclipse feeds STOMPER | Cupid | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | +5.7 | 15 | 2 |
| MID | Suhlayer STOMPER | Kukulkan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 35 | +3.4 | 38 | 7 |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames TOP DMG STOMPER | Anubis | 5 | 2 | 6 | 65 | +4.7 | 69 | 70 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | InspectorCody STOMPER | Aphrodite | 0 | 2 | 10 | -16 | +5.9 | -11 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| MID | Eclipse feeds | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Suhlayer | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | InspectorCody | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Platinum III |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian I | Obsidian I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Draiden: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- Eclipse feeds: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- InspectorCody: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: ayo is like 40000 gold down to fucking Cody, that is criminal behavior
- OSteg [shitter]: diffed by Cody
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: I knew tricky was a bad guy I just didn't know it was this deep
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: between this game and las game you have 30 deaths in 2 matches
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: Ive decided, Tricky is the worst adc in the stream
- Tricky [shitter]: bad guy tricky