05/17/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/18/2026, 2:05:56 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 29:32
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2774658280?t=03h06m30s @ 11190s
Balance Analysis
Based on 146 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
Sink
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Gold I
SOLO
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
SOLO
Platinum II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -27.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C | Susano | 6 | 7 | 6 | 92 | -6.2 | 86 | 72 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Cupid | 1 | 8 | 9 | -88 | -10.1 | -98 | 82 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Nut | 3 | 6 | 10 | 35 | -5.2 | 29 | 36 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Baron Samedi | 5 | 6 | 6 | 115 | -2.8 | 112 | 146 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Sobek | 3 | 5 | 9 | -33 | -3.7 | -36 | 30 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | Pele | 7 | 5 | 14 | 14 | +3.1 | 18 | 14 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Apollo | 13 | 3 | 7 | -5 | +5.4 | 1 | 137 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 8 | 1 | 11 | 52 | +14.2 | 66 | 63 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Achilles | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | +2.9 | 30 | 64 |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | Ganesha | 0 | 4 | 20 | -13 | +5.3 | -7 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Silver I | Gold I |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Sink: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE