CHAOS WIN
05/17/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/18/2026, 2:05:56 PM
Kills
18 – 32
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 8/1/11
Biggest Elo gain
Boolougames +14.2
Biggest Elo drop
RogueThrone -10.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 146 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 9
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
Sink
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Gold I
SOLO
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
SOLO
Platinum II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 18 kills Team Δ -27.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo C | 6/7/6 | 1.71 | 92 | ▼ -6.2 | 86 | 72 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone | 1/8/9 | 1.25 | -88 | ▼ -10.1 | -98 | 82 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 3/6/10 | 2.17 | 35 | ▼ -5.2 | 29 | 36 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 5/6/6 | 1.83 | 115 | ▼ -2.8 | 112 | 146 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/5/9 | 2.40 | -33 | ▼ -3.7 | -36 | 30 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +30.8
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | 7/5/14 | 4.20 | 14 | ▲ +3.1 | 18 | 14 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 13/3/7 | 6.67 | -5 | ▲ +5.4 | 1 | 137 | |
| MID | Boolougames MVP | 8/1/11 | 19.00 | 52 | ▲ +14.2 | 66 | 63 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 4/5/13 | 3.40 | 27 | ▲ +2.9 | 30 | 64 | |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | 0/4/20 | 5.00 | -13 | ▲ +5.3 | -7 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Silver I | Gold I |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Sink: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE