ORDER WIN
05/14/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:22:34 PM
Kills
35 – 8
MVP · best KDA
AlphaClaps 12/1/19
Biggest Elo gain
AlphaClaps +10.7
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -7.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 139 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 2% Order / 98% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 82 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 82 · 62% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Draiden
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 50 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Gold I
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 56% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber II
ORDER (WIN) 35 kills Team Δ +30.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps MVP TOP DMG | 12/1/19 | 31.00 | 38 | ▲ +10.7 | 49 | 45 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 2/1/13 | 15.00 | 88 | ▲ +4.5 | 92 | 71 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden | 15/1/10 | 25.00 | 61 | ▲ +9.0 | 70 | 12 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 5/2/12 | 8.50 | -96 | ▲ +3.3 | -93 | 75 | |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 1/3/18 | 6.33 | 64 | ▲ +3.0 | 67 | 19 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 8 kills Team Δ -23.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 2/7/2 | 0.57 | 136 | ▼ -7.1 | 129 | 139 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 1/4/3 | 1.00 | -16 | ▼ -2.2 | -18 | 130 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 5/8/3 | 1.00 | 59 | ▼ -3.9 | 55 | 58 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C | 0/9/3 | 0.33 | 18 | ▼ -5.0 | 13 | 59 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/7/4 | 0.57 | -6 | ▼ -5.0 | -11 | 24 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Gold III | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Silver III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum III | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: you only bought 7 wards in 25 mins