05/14/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:22:34 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:38
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2772167687?t=01h39m03s @ 5943s
Balance Analysis
Based on 139 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 82 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 82 · 62% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Draiden
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 50 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Gold I
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Silver II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 56% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber II
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | Thor | 12 | 1 | 19 | 38 | +10.7 | 49 | 45 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Cernunnos | 2 | 1 | 13 | 88 | +4.5 | 92 | 71 |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden | Charon | 15 | 1 | 10 | 61 | +9.0 | 70 | 12 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | Odin | 5 | 2 | 12 | -96 | +3.3 | -93 | 75 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Geb | 1 | 3 | 18 | 64 | +3.0 | 67 | 19 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -23.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Scylla | 2 | 7 | 2 | 136 | -7.1 | 129 | 139 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Ishtar | 1 | 4 | 3 | -16 | -2.2 | -18 | 130 |
| MID | Boolougames | Chiron | 5 | 8 | 3 | 59 | -3.9 | 55 | 58 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C | Artio | 0 | 9 | 3 | 18 | -5.0 | 13 | 59 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Ganesha | 0 | 7 | 4 | -6 | -5.0 | -11 | 24 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Gold III | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Silver III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Dog Shit I | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Platinum III | Silver III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: you only bought 7 wards in 25 mins