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CHAOS WIN F6 by ORDER

05/14/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest

CONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 23:59 ▶ Watch VOD

Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:05:31 PM

Kills 1226
MVP · best KDA OSteg 4/0/8
Biggest Elo gain OSteg +10.8
Biggest Elo drop Weak3n -5.2

Balance Analysis

Based on 138 prior matches
ORDER
16
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
21
51% win prob
49%
51%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR Diamond I
JUNGLE Gold I
MISMATCH — Order gap 113 · 66% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR Dog Shit II
JUNGLE ROFFLE Tier
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR Silver II
ADC Bronze II PLACEMENT
EVEN gap 2 · 50% favored
Kryooo
OVR Platinum III
ADC Bronze II
MID
BiggieSlaps
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 74 · 60% favored
Boolougames
OVR Silver I
MID Gold I
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR ROFFLE Tier
SOLO Poo Poo III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos gap 40 · 56% favored
OSteg
OVR Amber II
SOLO Bronze II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR Poo Poo I
SUPPORT Amber I
EVEN gap 4 · 51% favored
GTboss94
OVR Dog Shit II
SUPPORT Amber II PLACEMENT

ORDER (LOSS) 12 kills Team Δ -19.0

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n F6er 3/7/7 1.43 141 ▼ -5.2 136 138
ADC THIRD AlphaClaps C F6er 3/7/2 0.71 43 ▼ -4.8 38 44
MID SECONDARY BiggieSlaps F6er 5/4/2 1.75 -9 ▼ -1.9 -11 6
SOLO SECONDARY RogueThrone F6er 0/4/3 0.75 -92 ▼ -3.9 -96 74
SUPPORT iRoFFLe F6er 1/4/6 1.75 -3 ▼ -3.1 -6 23

CHAOS (WIN) 26 kills Team Δ +29.6

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 TOP DMG STOMPER 15/3/4 6.33 -21 ▲ +5.7 -16 129
ADC Kryooo STOMPER 6/4/5 2.75 85 ▲ +2.4 88 70
MID Boolougames C STOMPER 1/2/14 7.50 53 ▲ +5.8 59 57
SOLO THIRD OSteg MVP STOMPER 4/0/8 12.00 7 ▲ +10.8 18 58
SUPPORT GTboss94 STOMPER 0/4/17 4.25 -22 ▲ +5.0 -17 14

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
24
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
25
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE GTboss94 Dog Shit II Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC BiggieSlaps Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
MID RogueThrone ROFFLE Tier ROFFLE Tier
SOLO Weak3n Diamond I Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Kryooo Platinum III Silver III PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE OSteg Amber II Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC AlphaClaps Silver II Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID Boolougames Silver I Gold I
SOLO Jonhy0700 Dog Shit II Bronze III
SUPPORT iRoFFLe Poo Poo I Amber I

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags