CHAOS WIN
05/11/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 12:54:49 PM
Kills
22 – 46
MVP · best KDA
TheBugOnYou 7/1/24
Biggest Elo gain
TheBugOnYou +17.4
Biggest Elo drop
Boolougames -8.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 133 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 6
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 91 · 63% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
ADC
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Amber I
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Bronze III
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
MID
Poo Poo III
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 166 · 72% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian III
SUPPORT
Obsidian III
ORDER (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -27.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 6/10/7 | 1.30 | 145 | ▼ -6.8 | 138 | 133 | |
| ADC | Tricky | 9/9/2 | 1.22 | -40 | ▼ -6.4 | -46 | 29 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | 3/7/10 | 1.86 | 9 | ▼ -5.0 | 4 | 56 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | 3/12/9 | 1.00 | 64 | ▼ -8.0 | 56 | 55 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Edgewing C | 1/8/15 | 2.00 | -16 | ▼ -1.6 | -18 | 25 |
CHAOS (WIN) 46 kills Team Δ +29.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 18/6/11 | 4.83 | 6 | ▲ +2.5 | 8 | 124 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 10/6/14 | 4.00 | 18 | ▲ +2.0 | 20 | 24 | |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe C | 9/6/18 | 4.50 | 5 | ▲ +2.2 | 7 | 20 | |
| SOLO NEW | TheBugOnYou MVP TOP DMG | 7/1/24 | 31.00 | 10 | ▲ +17.4 | 28 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 2/3/22 | 8.00 | 153 | ▲ +5.4 | 159 | 90 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Amber I |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TheBugOnYou | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TheBugOnYou: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: either the build or the way you are playing is dog shit
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: GO AWAY HES ON ME GO AWAY!!!
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: you literally gave him a free kill with nothing up
- Tricky [shitter]: missed bomb and trolled last fight