CHAOS WIN
F6 by ?
05/11/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 12:39:09 PM
Kills
42 – 34
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 0/4/28
Biggest Elo gain
i cant read +9.5
Biggest Elo drop
ImPettyWap -9.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 132 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 25
Balanced
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 99% Order / 1% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 78 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
ImPettyWap
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber II
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold II
MID
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 101 · 64% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
MID
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 145 · 70% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 42 kills Team Δ -32.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 12/9/11 | 2.56 | 14 | ▼ -8.5 | 6 | 123 | |
| ADC NEW | ImPettyWap TOP DMG | 14/8/3 | 2.13 | 0 | ▼ -9.1 | -9 | 0 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 7/6/15 | 3.67 | 70 | ▼ -6.2 | 64 | 54 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing | 9/7/15 | 3.43 | -10 | ▼ -6.1 | -16 | 24 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP C | 0/4/28 | 7.00 | 156 | ▼ -2.2 | 153 | 89 |
CHAOS (WIN) 34 kills Team Δ +32.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/11/12 | 1.82 | 141 | ▲ +4.4 | 145 | 132 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 12/6/11 | 3.83 | 9 | ▲ +9.5 | 18 | 23 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | 6/7/12 | 2.57 | 3 | ▲ +6.1 | 9 | 55 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky C | 6/11/9 | 1.36 | -43 | ▲ +3.5 | -40 | 28 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 2/7/17 | 2.71 | -4 | ▲ +8.7 | 5 | 19 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Edgewing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Amber I |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Bronze II |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ImPettyWap | rookie | |
| ADC | i cant read | Amber II | Amber II |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold II | Platinum III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- ImPettyWap: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Tricky [weak3n_said]: yes tricky killed me, that wall was dog shit