CHAOS WIN
04/17/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/29/2026, 8:43:57 PM
Kills
11 – 31
MVP · best KDA
ItzStallone 8/1/9
Biggest Elo gain
ItzStallone +7.7
Biggest Elo drop
Jonhy0700 -4.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 81 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 77
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
61% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 14% Order / 86% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 54 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 83 · 62% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver II
ADC
Silver I PLACEMENT
MID
Dreamdemon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Poo Poo III
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 84 · 62% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Gold II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 46 · 57% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Gold II
ORDER (LOSS) 11 kills Team Δ -14.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo | 3/5/5 | 1.60 | 36 | ▼ -2.7 | 33 | 41 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 2/9/3 | 0.56 | 25 | ▼ -4.0 | 21 | 77 | |
| MID NEW | Dreamdemon | 1/2/2 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -2.9 | -3 | 0 | |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone C | 3/7/2 | 0.71 | -125 | ▼ -3.1 | -129 | 47 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 2/8/6 | 1.00 | 4 | ▼ -1.8 | 2 | 14 |
CHAOS (WIN) 31 kills Team Δ +23.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/2/12 | 10.00 | 139 | ▲ +4.5 | 144 | 81 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone MVP TOP DMG | 8/1/9 | 17.00 | 45 | ▲ +7.7 | 52 | 20 | |
| MID | OSteg C | 5/1/10 | 15.00 | 19 | ▲ +6.6 | 25 | 41 | |
| SOLO THIRD | sillyslother | 5/4/6 | 2.75 | 73 | ▲ +1.4 | 75 | 45 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 5/3/13 | 6.00 | 48 | ▲ +3.2 | 51 | 48 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dreamdemon | rookie | |
| MID | Kryooo | Silver III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold I | Platinum III |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Dreamdemon: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE