CHAOS WIN
03/31/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/29/2026, 7:03:46 AM
Kills
18 – 43
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 15/1/17
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +13.5
Biggest Elo drop
Tito -6.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 73 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 57
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
58% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 51% Order / 49% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SnixJ
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 70 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Tito
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 10 · 51% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber I
MID
Sunless
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 13 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
MID
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Gold III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 94 · 63% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
SOLO
Gold II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 18 kills Team Δ -25.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | SnixJ | 6/10/5 | 1.10 | 0 | ▼ -5.1 | -5 | 0 | |
| ADC NEW | Tito C | 5/8/1 | 0.75 | 2 | ▼ -6.6 | -5 | 2 | |
| MID NEW | Sunless | 6/6/6 | 2.00 | 0 | ▼ -2.8 | -3 | 0 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer | 1/9/8 | 1.00 | 63 | ▼ -4.9 | 58 | 40 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | BiggieSlaps | 0/10/7 | 0.70 | -8 | ▼ -5.8 | -14 | 2 |
CHAOS (WIN) 43 kills Team Δ +25.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP TOP DMG | 15/1/17 | 32.00 | 126 | ▲ +13.5 | 139 | 73 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 14/2/12 | 13.00 | 17 | ▲ +5.6 | 23 | 35 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | 5/6/15 | 3.33 | 16 | ▲ +1.5 | 17 | 36 | |
| SOLO THIRD | sillyslother C | 4/5/17 | 4.20 | 72 | ▲ +2.0 | 74 | 42 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | 5/5/19 | 4.80 | 108 | ▲ +2.5 | 111 | 35 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sunless | rookie | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold III | Gold I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tito | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SnixJ | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold I |
What changed vs actual draft
- BiggieSlaps: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Sunless: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Tito: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- SnixJ: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- sillyslother: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO