CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
04/27/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/28/2026, 4:21:53 PM
Kills
5 – 16
MVP · best KDA
DeltaJulz613 4/0/8
Biggest Elo gain
Aror +10.5
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -13.9
Balance Analysis
Based on 68 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 71% Order / 29% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 64 · 59% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 80 · 61% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 33 · 55% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 67 · 60% favored
Aror
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 5 kills Team Δ -26.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | 3/4/1 | 1.00 | 120 | ▼ -3.1 | 117 | 68 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone F6er | 2/5/2 | 0.80 | -115 | ▼ -4.0 | -119 | 42 | |
| MID SECONDARY | iRoFFLe C F6er | 0/4/0 | 0.00 | 0 | ▼ -13.9 | -14 | 12 | |
| SOLO THIRD | SpideryBacchus9 F6er | 0/2/1 | 0.50 | -12 | ▼ -2.7 | -15 | 6 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer F6er | 0/3/3 | 1.00 | 56 | ▼ -2.3 | 53 | 35 |
CHAOS (WIN) 16 kills Team Δ +28.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | i cant read C STOMPER | 4/2/2 | 3.00 | -6 | ▲ +2.5 | -3 | 10 | |
| ADC THIRD | AlphaClaps STOMPER | 3/2/5 | 4.00 | 29 | ▲ +3.1 | 32 | 24 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 MVP STOMPER | 4/0/8 | 12.00 | 7 | ▲ +9.4 | 16 | 15 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames STOMPER | 2/0/2 | 4.00 | 94 | ▲ +3.2 | 97 | 32 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Aror TOP DMG STOMPER | 3/1/8 | 11.00 | 0 | ▲ +10.5 | 11 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SpideryBacchus9 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Aror | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I |
| SOLO | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver I | Gold II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- SpideryBacchus9: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- iRoFFLe: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Aror: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- SpideryBacchus9 [shitter]: couldn't compete
- iRoFFLe [shitter]: couldn't compete