ORDER WIN
04/27/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/28/2026, 4:20:48 PM
Kills
36 – 35
MVP · best KDA
RogueThrone 8/4/13
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +6.8
Biggest Elo drop
ItzStallone -8.9
Balance Analysis
Based on 67 prior matchesORDER
60% win prob
Δ 69
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
40% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 94% Order / 6% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
ADC
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Gold III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 161 · 72% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Amber I
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Tametoy
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Gold III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 58 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 36 kills Team Δ +24.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | 6/8/13 | 2.38 | 67 | ▲ +3.0 | 70 | 37 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 18/6/12 | 5.00 | 113 | ▲ +6.8 | 120 | 67 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 4/7/18 | 3.14 | 90 | ▲ +3.8 | 94 | 31 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | 7/8/14 | 2.63 | 25 | ▲ +3.7 | 29 | 23 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | 1/6/22 | 3.83 | 49 | ▲ +6.8 | 56 | 34 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 35 kills Team Δ -20.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 12/9/10 | 2.44 | 26 | ▼ -5.3 | 21 | 65 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone | 7/9/6 | 1.44 | 54 | ▼ -8.9 | 45 | 19 | |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone MVP | 8/4/13 | 5.25 | -112 | ▼ -2.5 | -115 | 41 | |
| SOLO | Tametoy | 7/6/11 | 3.00 | 12 | ▼ -2.1 | 10 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT THIRD | OSteg | 1/8/23 | 3.00 | 17 | ▼ -1.6 | 16 | 35 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Silver II | Gold III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver I | Gold III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Tametoy: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- sillyslother [weak3n_said]: "This will be like six games in a row where you're just irrelevant for the first ten minutes, its getting old"