04/26/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:37
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2757986086?t=3h24m55s @ 12295s
Balance Analysis
Based on 64 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 29
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
ADC
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
i cant read
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 86 · 62% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Silver III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 60 · 59% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +27.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Thor | 15 | 4 | 11 | 66 | +6.3 | 72 | 35 |
| ADC THIRD | OSteg C | Anhur | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | +2.0 | 16 | 33 |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 15 | 4 | 16 | 92 | +7.3 | 99 | 64 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Edgewing | Odin | 6 | 6 | 13 | -35 | +3.2 | -32 | 13 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Hun Batz | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | +8.7 | 37 | 32 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -24.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Kali | 9 | 12 | 3 | 41 | -6.7 | 35 | 62 |
| ADC | i cant read | Agni | 2 | 8 | 9 | 0 | -5.8 | -6 | 9 |
| MID | Boolougames C | Discordia | 3 | 8 | 8 | 97 | -5.3 | 92 | 28 |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone | Ne Zha | 6 | 10 | 5 | -107 | -3.2 | -110 | 38 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify | Da Ji | 3 | 7 | 10 | -14 | -3.1 | -17 | 24 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum II |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Edgewing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE