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04/16/2026 · Match #7 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2748270375?t=1h6m7s @ 3967s

Balance Analysis

Based on 4 prior matches
ORDER
0
48% win prob
Δ 13
Balanced
CHAOS
12
52% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +92.5

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE NEW Weak3n Mercury 7 4 11 -28 +17.0 -11 4
ADC NEW Tricky Anhur 10 5 6 36 +15.3 52 4
SUPPORT NEW Riptzer Athena 1 2 15 -14 +21.5 7 1
SOLO NEW KingSaber Mordred 11 1 7 19 +24.9 43 3
MID NEW OSteg Agni 5 6 7 -14 +13.8 0 1

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -63.9

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
MID NEW ItzStallone Merlin 4 7 6 23 -13.1 10 1
ADC NEW it is that easy Apollo 3 8 2 23 -12.0 11 1
SUPPORT NEW DeltaJulz613 Bacchus 3 7 6 0 -12.9 -13 0
JUNGLE NEW Kryooo Thor 4 6 7 26 -13.6 13 3
SOLO NEW Jonhy0700 Sol 4 6 1 -11 -12.3 -23 3

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
7
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
5
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n -28
ADC Tricky 36
SUPPORT Riptzer -14
SOLO KingSaber 19
MID ItzStallone 23

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Kryooo 26
ADC it is that easy 23
SUPPORT DeltaJulz613 rookie
SOLO Jonhy0700 -11
MID OSteg -14

What changed vs actual draft