04/23/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:39:57 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 27:34
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=3h5m57s @ 11157s
Balance Analysis
Based on 50 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 42
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
TheOldGoodGuy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 56 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 32 · 55% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber I
MID
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 90 · 63% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
Giftie
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 43 · 56% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | TheOldGoodGuy | Hun Batz | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -4.1 | -4 | 0 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Anhur | 3 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -4.1 | 16 | 48 |
| MID SECONDARY | Imdead C | Cabrakan | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -3.6 | -3 | 3 |
| SOLO NEW | Giftie | Chaac | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6.4 | 2 | 2 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify | Artio | 1 | 6 | 8 | -21 | -4.2 | -25 | 20 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Nemesis | 7 | 3 | 10 | 91 | +4.0 | 96 | 50 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Cernunnos | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +2.5 | 14 | 28 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 5 | 4 | 9 | 87 | +2.5 | 89 | 21 |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg C | Achilles | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +4.5 | 15 | 28 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Sobek | 4 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +12.9 | 28 | 22 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Giftie | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Kryooo | Amber I | Amber I |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber I |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Amber I | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | TheOldGoodGuy | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Giftie: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- TheOldGoodGuy: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Imdead: ORDER MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE