04/24/2026 · Match #58 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=3h5m57s @ 11157s
Balance Analysis
Based on 54 prior matchesORDER
35% win prob
Δ 105
Favored
CHAOS
65% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -43.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT THIRD | Horrify | Artio | 1 | 6 | 8 | 29 | -7.5 | 22 | 20 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Anhur | 3 | 6 | 3 | 228 | -8.5 | 220 | 51 |
| SOLO NEW | Giftie | Chaac | 2 | 5 | 4 | 33 | -8.7 | 25 | 2 |
| MID NEW | Mid | Cabrakan | 3 | 3 | 4 | -15 | -9.7 | -25 | 3 |
| JUNGLE NEW | TheOldGoodGuy | Hun Batz | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -9.4 | -9 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +66.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Nemesis | 7 | 3 | 10 | 295 | +12.6 | 307 | 54 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Sobek | 4 | 1 | 11 | 136 | +17.0 | 152 | 23 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Kryooo | Cernunnos | 4 | 4 | 11 | 102 | +12.0 | 114 | 32 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 5 | 4 | 9 | 156 | +10.7 | 167 | 22 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Achilles | 5 | 2 | 7 | 112 | +14.2 | 126 | 28 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 136 |
| ADC | Kryooo | 102 |
| SOLO | Giftie | 33 |
| MID | Mid | -15 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 295 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Horrify | 29 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 228 |
| SOLO | OSteg | 112 |
| MID | Boolougames | 156 |
| JUNGLE | TheOldGoodGuy | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE