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04/24/2026 · Match #56 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=1h57m45s @ 7065s

Balance Analysis

Based on 52 prior matches
ORDER
150
62% win prob
Δ 82
Favored
CHAOS
68
38% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +66.4

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Da Ji 9 3 6 296 +13.2 309 52
ADC Tricky Ullr 8 7 2 61 +9.7 70 14
SOLO sillyslother Gilgamesh 1 2 9 138 +13.2 151 32
SUPPORT Riptzer Sylvanus 2 4 13 135 +12.0 147 21
MID Boolougames Discordia 4 1 12 121 +18.5 139 20

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -47.0

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Kryooo Apollo 2 6 6 88 -9.6 78 30
ADC THIRD i cant read Artemis 3 6 6 -1 -8.2 -9 5
SUPPORT THIRD Horrify Fenrir 7 6 6 38 -8.7 29 19
MID SECONDARY Jonhy0700 Agni 3 4 5 217 -9.3 207 49
SOLO NEW TheBugOnYou Morgan Le Fay 2 2 4 0 -11.2 -11 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
110
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
108
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n 296
ADC i cant read -1
SOLO TheBugOnYou rookie
SUPPORT Horrify 38
MID Jonhy0700 217

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Kryooo 88
ADC Tricky 61
SOLO sillyslother 138
SUPPORT Riptzer 135
MID Boolougames 121

What changed vs actual draft