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04/24/2026 · Match #55 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2755500139?t=1h0m48s @ 3648s

Balance Analysis

Based on 51 prior matches
ORDER
158
65% win prob
Δ 111
Favored
CHAOS
47
35% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +65.4

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
MID OFF-ROLE Weak3n Scylla 9 6 12 281 +15.3 296 51
SUPPORT Riptzer Cerberus 3 5 20 122 +12.4 135 20
ADC SECONDARY Kryooo Anhur 14 9 8 76 +11.2 88 29
JUNGLE THIRD Jonhy0700 Nemesis 12 7 13 203 +13.7 217 48
SOLO OFF-ROLE Boolougames Thor 5 8 9 108 +12.8 121 19

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -52.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC NEW Doni Ishtar 3 12 19 -35 -9.6 -45 2
MID THIRD Tricky Sun Wukong 6 11 14 69 -8.0 61 13
SUPPORT SECONDARY sillyslother Yemoja 6 4 22 151 -13.6 138 31
SOLO Horrify Anubis 13 5 8 50 -12.0 38 18
JUNGLE NEW Khastik Kali 7 11 13 0 -9.6 -10 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
104
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
101
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
MID Tricky 69
SUPPORT Riptzer 122
ADC Kryooo 76
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 203
SOLO Horrify 50

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
MID Weak3n 281
SUPPORT sillyslother 151
ADC Doni -35
JUNGLE Khastik rookie
SOLO Boolougames 108

What changed vs actual draft