04/23/2026 · Match #53 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2742568833?t=3h44m52s @ 13492s
Balance Analysis
Based on 49 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +70.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC SECONDARY | Weak3n | Athena | 8 | 9 | 12 | 277 | +15.6 | 293 | 49 |
| MID THIRD | Riptzer | Agni | 4 | 9 | 12 | 81 | +16.4 | 97 | 18 |
| JUNGLE NEW | I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 | Medusa | 8 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +12.8 | 19 | 2 |
| SOLO NEW | treestoompzz | Yemoja | 1 | 12 | 9 | 0 | +12.5 | 12 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Radnor | Hou Yi | 7 | 8 | 6 | -15 | +13.5 | -2 | 3 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -91.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Cupid | 11 | 6 | 19 | -6 | -16.1 | -23 | 33 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jigann | Pele | 13 | 3 | 20 | -27 | -21.1 | -49 | 12 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 6 | 8 | 22 | 233 | -15.8 | 217 | 46 |
| MID | Boolougames | Janus | 12 | 2 | 14 | 105 | -25.4 | 79 | 17 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | OSteg | Cabrakan | 7 | 9 | 26 | 146 | -13.4 | 133 | 25 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 7
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 277 |
| MID | Boolougames | 105 |
| JUNGLE | I'd Suck Weak3n's Toes For $3 | 6 |
| SOLO | treestoompzz | rookie |
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | -6 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 233 |
| MID | Riptzer | 81 |
| JUNGLE | OSteg | 146 |
| SOLO | Jigann | -27 |
| SUPPORT | Radnor | -15 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT