04/16/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2749054198?t=2h32m41s @ 9161s
Balance Analysis
Based on 2 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 26
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -77.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Weak3n | Ishtar | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | -15.2 | -14 | 2 |
| MID NEW | RogueThrone | Merlin | 7 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -15.3 | 2 | 1 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jigann | Thor | 6 | 5 | 9 | 39 | -17.2 | 21 | 2 |
| ADC NEW | Vayu | Jing Wei | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | -15.5 | 9 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | Shmeep | Osiris | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | -13.8 | -10 | 2 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +95.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLO NEW | Tricky | Hercules | 8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | +18.9 | 22 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 1 | 6 | 21 | -25 | +18.4 | -7 | 2 |
| MID NEW | iRoFFLe | Hecate | 5 | 8 | 9 | -13 | +15.1 | 2 | 1 |
| JUNGLE NEW | Kryooo | Poseidon | 10 | 3 | 13 | 1 | +25.3 | 26 | 2 |
| ADC NEW | Jonhy0700 | Anhur | 10 | 6 | 9 | -13 | +17.5 | 4 | 1 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 1 |
| MID | RogueThrone | 17 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | -25 |
| ADC | Vayu | 25 |
| SOLO | Tricky | 3 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 1 |
| MID | iRoFFLe | -13 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 39 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | -13 |
| SOLO | Shmeep | 4 |
What changed vs actual draft
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO