04/09/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:54:08 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:28
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2744166370?t=1h0m6s @ 3606s
Balance Analysis
Based on 35 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 44 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 77 · 61% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
MID
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 26 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 12 · 52% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 46 · 57% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Silver II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -30.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | AlphaClaps | Loki | 8 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -3.2 | 10 | 12 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Jing Wei | 1 | 4 | 4 | 27 | -4.1 | 22 | 19 |
| MID | OSteg C | Nu Wa | 3 | 10 | 6 | 6 | -5.2 | 1 | 20 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Chaac | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | -13.7 | -11 | 11 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Jigann | Apollo | 3 | 8 | 5 | -3 | -4.1 | -7 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +30.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Da Ji | 10 | 6 | 20 | -1 | +3.8 | 3 | 35 |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | Hou Yi | 6 | 4 | 7 | -93 | +2.5 | -91 | 25 |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n | Scylla | 10 | 3 | 11 | 56 | +5.4 | 61 | 35 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Artio | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +8.4 | 10 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 4 | 2 | 17 | 59 | +10.2 | 69 | 20 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Amber I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber II | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo I | Bronze III |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Silver I | Silver II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- OSteg: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- JohnRowing: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: Is a Dumbass he could have just ulted