04/12/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 3:32:57 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 29:18
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=3h47m13s @ 13633s
Balance Analysis
Based on 33 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 68 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze I
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 43 · 56% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Silver II PLACEMENT
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 51 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 33 · 55% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Nemesis | 8 | 7 | 10 | -11 | +4.8 | -6 | 33 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | Jing Wei | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | +3.3 | 2 | 10 |
| MID | OSteg C TOP DMG | Vulcan | 11 | 8 | 10 | 1 | +5.0 | 6 | 19 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Achilles | 7 | 4 | 11 | -7 | +8.9 | 2 | 4 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 2 | 6 | 17 | 51 | +7.9 | 59 | 19 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -25.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Artemis | 8 | 4 | 15 | 52 | -3.1 | 49 | 33 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone | Hou Yi | 6 | 6 | 8 | 31 | -7.6 | 24 | 12 |
| MID | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | -5.2 | 20 | 6 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone C | Hua Mulan | 3 | 7 | 11 | -84 | -3.9 | -88 | 23 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify | Cerberus | 5 | 9 | 16 | -4 | -6.1 | -10 | 14 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Boolougames | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- ItzStallone: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Boolougames [weak3n_said]: WHY ARE WE GETTING PICKED IN LATE GAME FIGHTS