04/23/2026 · Match #39 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=3h54m11s @ 14051s
Balance Analysis
Based on 36 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 6
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +91.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLO THIRD | sillyslother | Sylvanus | 2 | 6 | 17 | 113 | +19.1 | 132 | 22 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Riptzer | Jing Wei | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +18.7 | 24 | 10 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Nemesis | 8 | 7 | 10 | 141 | +15.0 | 156 | 35 |
| MID NEW | JohnRowing | Achilles | 7 | 4 | 11 | -29 | +18.0 | -11 | 4 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | OSteg | Vulcan | 11 | 8 | 10 | 58 | +20.4 | 78 | 19 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -65.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Artemis | 8 | 4 | 15 | 120 | -14.8 | 105 | 36 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | Hua Mulan | 3 | 7 | 11 | -41 | -10.4 | -51 | 25 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone | Hou Yi | 6 | 6 | 8 | 67 | -10.8 | 56 | 12 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Horrify | Cerberus | 5 | 9 | 16 | 58 | -13.3 | 45 | 14 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | Kukulkan | 9 | 6 | 11 | 54 | -16.2 | 38 | 6 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
most balanced split
CHAOS
49% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SOLO | sillyslother | 113 |
| JUNGLE | Riptzer | 5 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 141 |
| MID | JohnRowing | -29 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 54 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SOLO | ItzStallone | 67 |
| JUNGLE | RogueThrone | -41 |
| ADC | Horrify | 58 |
| MID | Weak3n | 120 |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | 58 |
What changed vs actual draft
- Boolougames: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT