04/12/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 3:17:24 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 41:59
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=1h54m49s @ 6889s
Balance Analysis
Based on 31 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 61 · 59% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 33 · 55% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 11 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Loki | 23 | 11 | 13 | 49 | +5.9 | 55 | 31 |
| ADC SECONDARY | AlphaClaps C | Cernunnos | 13 | 10 | 7 | 20 | +3.7 | 23 | 10 |
| MID NEW | Dest | Sol | 10 | 11 | 14 | 0 | +3.7 | 4 | 0 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Mordred | 6 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +12.5 | 33 | 9 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ne Zha | 4 | 11 | 14 | -4 | +3.5 | -1 | 9 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -27.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Hun Batz | 12 | 12 | 7 | -6 | -7.7 | -14 | 31 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Nut | 4 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -6.1 | 26 | 16 |
| MID | Boolougames | Agni | 13 | 10 | 11 | 23 | -5.2 | 18 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | JohnRowing TOP DMG | Bellona | 15 | 13 | 10 | -7 | -6.8 | -14 | 2 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | OSteg | Ymir | 4 | 12 | 28 | 3 | -1.8 | 1 | 18 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Dest | rookie | |
| ADC | Boolougames | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Riptzer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | KingSaber | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- AlphaClaps: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- KingSaber: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- JohnRowing: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE