04/23/2026 · Match #37 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=1h58m22s @ 7102s
Balance Analysis
Based on 34 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 31
Slight edge
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
54% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +96.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC THIRD | Weak3n | Loki | 23 | 11 | 3 | 114 | +20.5 | 135 | 34 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | Ne Zha | 4 | 11 | 14 | -10 | +15.6 | 5 | 9 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Cernunnos | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58 | +16.4 | 74 | 10 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | KingSaber | Mordred | 6 | 5 | 26 | 58 | +27.5 | 85 | 11 |
| MID NEW | Dest | Sol | 10 | 11 | 14 | 0 | +16.7 | 17 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -80.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLO THIRD | Kryooo | Nut | 4 | 9 | 17 | 136 | -14.2 | 122 | 19 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 12 | 12 | 7 | 142 | -15.5 | 127 | 33 |
| JUNGLE NEW | JohnRowing | Bellona | 15 | 13 | 10 | -29 | -16.2 | -46 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Boolougames | Agni | 13 | 10 | 11 | 51 | -17.1 | 34 | 4 |
| MID | OSteg | Ymir | 4 | 12 | 28 | 76 | -17.7 | 58 | 18 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Weak3n | 114 |
| SOLO | Riptzer | -10 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 58 |
| SUPPORT | KingSaber | 58 |
| MID | OSteg | 76 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 142 |
| SOLO | Kryooo | 136 |
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | -29 |
| SUPPORT | Boolougames | 51 |
| MID | Dest | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID