CHAOS WIN
07/14/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:06:02 PM
Kills
27 – 18
MVP · best KDA
ForeverNeoo 5/1/15
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +9.4
Biggest Elo drop
Malenia -9.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 211 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 87 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Bronze III
MID
Malenia
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
MID
Dog Shit II
SOLO
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master I
SUPPORT
Demigod
MISMATCH — Order
gap 231 · 79% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Bronze III
ORDER (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -30.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 9/5/10 | 3.80 | 101 | ▼ -8.1 | 93 | 170 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 4/3/9 | 4.33 | -35 | ▼ -7.7 | -42 | 68 | |
| MID | Malenia TOP DMG | 6/5/11 | 3.40 | 29 | ▼ -9.3 | 20 | 5 | |
| SOLO NEW | ForeverNeoo MVP | 5/1/15 | 20.00 | 0 | ▼ -1.4 | -1 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 3/4/19 | 5.50 | 220 | ▼ -4.3 | 216 | 136 |
CHAOS (WIN) 18 kills Team Δ +30.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 5/3/6 | 3.67 | 124 | ▲ +9.4 | 133 | 211 | |
| ADC | Kryooo C | 9/5/3 | 2.40 | 142 | ▲ +6.8 | 149 | 100 | |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | 2/5/8 | 2.00 | 7 | ▲ +4.9 | 12 | 94 | |
| SOLO NEW | Jones3Gaming | 2/7/8 | 1.43 | 2 | ▲ +4.1 | 6 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 0/7/11 | 1.57 | -12 | ▲ +5.7 | -7 | 58 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jones3Gaming | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber II | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master I | Demigod |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- Jones3Gaming: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Malenia: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE