ORDER WIN
05/25/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 3:11:25 PM
Kills
46 – 32
MVP · best KDA
TheBugOnYou 9/2/16
Biggest Elo gain
TheBugOnYou +13.8
Biggest Elo drop
RogueThrone -8.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 176 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver I
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 68 · 60% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dest
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
itsKingJae
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Gold III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
CashoutSinai
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 179 · 74% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Master III
ORDER (WIN) 46 kills Team Δ +29.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Boolougames | 12/5/12 | 4.80 | 99 | ▲ +5.0 | 104 | 88 | |
| ADC | i cant read C TOP DMG | 16/7/11 | 3.86 | -7 | ▲ +4.2 | -3 | 46 | |
| MID | Dest | 5/6/16 | 3.50 | 18 | ▲ +3.5 | 21 | 11 | |
| SOLO | TheBugOnYou MVP | 9/2/16 | 12.50 | 59 | ▲ +13.8 | 73 | 6 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 4/12/19 | 1.92 | -8 | ▲ +2.5 | -5 | 37 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 32 kills Team Δ -29.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/6/10 | 3.00 | 50 | ▼ -4.1 | 46 | 176 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 7/13/13 | 1.54 | -106 | ▼ -8.3 | -114 | 103 | |
| MID NEW | itsKingJae | 13/12/8 | 1.75 | 0 | ▼ -6.7 | -7 | 0 | |
| SOLO | CashoutSinai | 1/8/11 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -6.9 | -7 | 3 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 3/7/18 | 3.00 | 162 | ▼ -3.1 | 158 | 121 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Gold III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | CashoutSinai | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo I |
| SUPPORT | Dest | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | itsKingJae | rookie | |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Poo Poo II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Dest: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- TheBugOnYou: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Boolougames: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- CashoutSinai: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- itsKingJae: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC