ORDER WIN
05/25/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/26/2026, 2:19:44 PM
Kills
38 – 43
MVP · best KDA
SSaiyanBlu 7/5/14
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +8.0
Biggest Elo drop
Neopolitan -11.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 172 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 4
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 99% Order / 1% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Dog Shit III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Gold I
ADC
Amber III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 127 · 68% favored
Doni
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Poo Poo II
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Neopolitan
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 208 · 77% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (WIN) 38 kills Team Δ +30.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 18/8/9 | 3.38 | 41 | ▲ +8.0 | 49 | 172 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | 9/7/6 | 2.14 | 80 | ▲ +5.1 | 85 | 160 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 4/8/16 | 2.50 | 100 | ▲ +5.4 | 106 | 85 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 4/9/16 | 2.22 | -110 | ▲ +5.7 | -104 | 100 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/11/20 | 2.09 | -22 | ▲ +6.2 | -16 | 35 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 43 kills Team Δ -27.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | SSaiyanBlu MVP | 7/5/14 | 4.20 | -27 | ▼ -3.8 | -31 | 15 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 10/6/8 | 3.00 | -11 | ▼ -5.0 | -16 | 43 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Doni C | 8/7/12 | 2.86 | -17 | ▼ -2.7 | -19 | 3 | |
| SOLO NEW | Neopolitan | 12/13/7 | 1.46 | 0 | ▼ -11.1 | -11 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 6/7/13 | 2.71 | 164 | ▼ -4.9 | 160 | 117 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SSaiyanBlu | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Neopolitan | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Gold I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Doni | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | iRoFFLe | Dog Shit II | Poo Poo II |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo II |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Neopolitan: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- SSaiyanBlu: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Doni: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE