CHAOS WIN
05/21/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 1:18:02 PM
Kills
27 – 41
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 8/3/12
Biggest Elo gain
Jonhy0700 +6.3
Biggest Elo drop
Draiden -5.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 168 prior matchesORDER
38% win prob
Δ 84
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
62% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
fabduls
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 142 · 69% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
timerrr
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 172 · 73% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -21.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 15/9/4 | 2.11 | 61 | ▼ -3.1 | 58 | 168 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Shmeep | 3/6/9 | 2.00 | -15 | ▼ -1.9 | -17 | 5 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 3/8/8 | 1.38 | -107 | ▼ -5.2 | -112 | 97 | |
| SOLO | timerrr | 4/7/5 | 1.29 | 26 | ▼ -5.2 | 20 | 6 | |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | 2/11/9 | 1.00 | 85 | ▼ -5.5 | 79 | 27 |
CHAOS (WIN) 41 kills Team Δ +22.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | 13/6/16 | 4.83 | 145 | ▲ +4.3 | 149 | 86 | |
| ADC NEW | fabduls | 7/9/8 | 1.67 | 0 | ▲ +1.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| MID | Boolougames MVP C | 8/3/12 | 6.67 | 84 | ▲ +5.8 | 90 | 83 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 8/4/18 | 6.50 | 57 | ▲ +6.3 | 63 | 156 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 5/5/18 | 4.60 | 185 | ▲ +5.0 | 190 | 113 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | timerrr | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Shmeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | fabduls | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum II |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- timerrr: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE