05/21/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/22/2026, 1:18:02 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:45
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2777748027?t=03h30m54s @ 12654s
Balance Analysis
Based on 168 prior matchesORDER
38% win prob
Δ 84
CHAOS favored
CHAOS
62% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
fabduls
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 142 · 69% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
MID
Platinum II
SOLO
timerrr
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver I
SOLO
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Bronze I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 172 · 73% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -21.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Pele | 15 | 9 | 4 | 62 | -3.1 | 58 | 168 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Shmeep | Chiron | 3 | 6 | 9 | -15 | -1.9 | -17 | 5 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | Merlin | 3 | 8 | 8 | -107 | -5.2 | -112 | 97 |
| SOLO | timerrr | Osiris | 4 | 7 | 5 | 26 | -5.2 | 20 | 6 |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | Sylvanus | 2 | 11 | 9 | 85 | -5.5 | 79 | 27 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +22.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo TOP DMG | Susano | 13 | 6 | 16 | 145 | +4.3 | 149 | 86 |
| ADC NEW | fabduls | Hou Yi | 7 | 9 | 8 | 0 | +1.5 | 1 | 0 |
| MID | Boolougames C | Scylla | 8 | 3 | 12 | 84 | +5.8 | 90 | 83 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Cabrakan | 8 | 4 | 18 | 57 | +6.3 | 63 | 156 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Cerberus | 5 | 5 | 18 | 185 | +5.0 | 190 | 113 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | timerrr | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Shmeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | fabduls | rookie | |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum II |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- timerrr: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE