CHAOS WIN
05/20/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/21/2026, 1:51:33 PM
Kills
12 – 32
MVP · best KDA
Sink 11/1/8
Biggest Elo gain
Sink +11.7
Biggest Elo drop
SSaiyanBlu -10.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 161 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit II
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 32 · 55% favored
Sink
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Amber II
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Poo Poo III
EVEN
gap 3 · 51% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 30 · 54% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Amber II
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Poo Poo III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Silver II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 32 · 55% favored
GTboss94
OVR
Dog Shit I
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 12 kills Team Δ -28.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 2/5/6 | 1.60 | 40 | ▼ -4.1 | 35 | 150 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 5/9/2 | 0.78 | -16 | ▼ -7.4 | -23 | 36 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone C | 3/5/3 | 1.20 | -82 | ▼ -5.2 | -87 | 91 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | 1/9/4 | 0.56 | -12 | ▼ -10.0 | -22 | 10 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 1/5/7 | 1.60 | 100 | ▼ -1.5 | 98 | 80 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +29.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink MVP TOP DMG | 11/1/8 | 19.00 | 17 | ▲ +11.7 | 29 | 18 | |
| ADC | Tricky | 10/4/3 | 3.25 | -64 | ▲ +2.2 | -62 | 34 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | 1/2/17 | 9.00 | 92 | ▲ +5.0 | 97 | 161 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg C | 7/2/13 | 10.00 | 25 | ▲ +6.4 | 32 | 76 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | 3/3/14 | 5.67 | -17 | ▲ +4.3 | -12 | 15 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | SSaiyanBlu | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Platinum II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Dog Shit I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Kryooo: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Sink: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC