ORDER WIN
05/19/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 2:50:38 PM
Kills
27 – 44
MVP · best KDA
Boolougames 6/3/18
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +9.8
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -12.5
Balance Analysis
Based on 158 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum III
ADC
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Amber III
MID
Suhlayer
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
MID
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
MID
Platinum III
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 33 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
SOLO
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master III
SUPPORT
Master II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 162 · 72% favored
Draiden
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Silver III
ORDER (WIN) 27 kills Team Δ +30.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | 5/12/11 | 1.33 | 7 | ▲ +3.6 | 11 | 73 | |
| ADC | Kryooo C | 10/10/9 | 1.90 | 89 | ▲ +5.4 | 94 | 77 | |
| MID | Suhlayer TOP DMG | 7/7/10 | 2.43 | 42 | ▲ +6.7 | 49 | 9 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | 4/8/8 | 1.50 | -6 | ▲ +4.5 | -1 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 1/7/17 | 2.57 | 184 | ▲ +9.8 | 194 | 108 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 44 kills Team Δ -28.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 13/6/16 | 4.83 | 104 | ▼ -5.6 | 98 | 158 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 9/8/8 | 2.13 | -1 | ▼ -12.5 | -14 | 33 | |
| MID | Boolougames MVP | 6/3/18 | 8.00 | 77 | ▼ -3.5 | 73 | 75 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 10/4/16 | 6.50 | 39 | ▼ -2.0 | 37 | 147 | |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | 6/6/24 | 5.00 | 98 | ▼ -4.3 | 94 | 22 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Suhlayer | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Poo Poo I | Amber III |
| MID | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Platinum III | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master III | Master II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Platinum II | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold I | Platinum III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Suhlayer: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- OSteg: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC