CHAOS WIN
05/19/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:50 PM
Kills
19 – 43
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 0/1/31
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +19.2
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -7.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 157 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 16
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 58% Order / 42% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 134 · 68% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
Draiden
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 176 · 73% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Master III
ORDER (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -24.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 3/9/5 | 0.89 | 111 | ▼ -7.6 | 104 | 157 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 5/7/4 | 1.29 | 94 | ▼ -5.0 | 89 | 76 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden C | 6/10/2 | 0.80 | 102 | ▼ -3.9 | 98 | 21 | |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | 4/6/4 | 1.33 | -1 | ▼ -4.9 | -6 | 6 | |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | 1/11/8 | 0.82 | -7 | ▼ -3.1 | -10 | 7 |
CHAOS (WIN) 43 kills Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | 10/8/14 | 3.00 | -92 | ▲ +1.9 | -90 | 88 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | 12/4/10 | 5.50 | 36 | ▲ +2.6 | 39 | 146 | |
| MID | Suhlayer C TOP DMG | 13/3/11 | 8.00 | 38 | ▲ +3.8 | 42 | 8 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | 8/3/15 | 7.67 | 73 | ▲ +3.8 | 77 | 74 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP | 0/1/31 | 31.00 | 165 | ▲ +19.2 | 184 | 107 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Suhlayer | Silver III PLACEMENT | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| MID | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Room40: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- RogueThrone: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Room40 [shitter]: irrelevant, didn't ward, didn't do dmg