05/19/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:50 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:52
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2776189319?t=02h36m48s @ 9408s
Balance Analysis
Based on 157 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 16
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 134 · 68% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
Draiden
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
SSaiyanBlu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 176 · 73% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Master III
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -24.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Bellona | 3 | 9 | 5 | 111 | -7.6 | 104 | 157 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Ullr | 5 | 7 | 4 | 94 | -5.0 | 89 | 76 |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden C | Poseidon | 6 | 10 | 2 | 102 | -3.9 | 98 | 21 |
| SOLO | SSaiyanBlu | Hercules | 4 | 6 | 4 | -1 | -4.9 | -6 | 6 |
| SUPPORT | Room40 | Cerberus | 1 | 11 | 8 | -7 | -3.1 | -10 | 7 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | Loki | 10 | 8 | 14 | -92 | +1.9 | -90 | 88 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 12 | 4 | 10 | 36 | +2.6 | 39 | 146 |
| MID | Suhlayer C TOP DMG | Ah Puch | 13 | 3 | 11 | 38 | +3.8 | 42 | 8 |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | Thor | 8 | 3 | 15 | 73 | +3.8 | 77 | 74 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Ganesha | 0 | 1 | 31 | 165 | +19.2 | 184 | 107 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Platinum I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Suhlayer | Silver III PLACEMENT | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| MID | SSaiyanBlu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Poo Poo III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Master III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Room40: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- SSaiyanBlu: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- RogueThrone: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Room40 [shitter]: irrelevant, didn't ward, didn't do dmg