CHAOS WIN
05/19/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:44 PM
Kills
19 – 33
MVP · best KDA
Draiden 10/2/12
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +8.5
Biggest Elo drop
TramboneKing -5.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 156 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 44
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 79 · 61% favored
Draiden
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Gold II PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold I
MID
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold II
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TramboneKing
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 161 · 72% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (LOSS) 19 kills Team Δ -16.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | 7/7/7 | 2.00 | 98 | ▼ -3.9 | 94 | 75 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | 5/8/5 | 1.25 | 39 | ▼ -3.1 | 36 | 145 | |
| MID | ItzStallone C | 1/2/7 | 4.00 | 74 | ▼ -2.1 | 72 | 33 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 4/5/7 | 2.20 | 9 | ▼ -1.7 | 7 | 72 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 2/11/5 | 0.64 | -12 | ▼ -5.3 | -18 | 14 |
CHAOS (WIN) 33 kills Team Δ +26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 9/3/12 | 7.00 | 106 | ▲ +4.9 | 111 | 156 | |
| ADC THIRD | Draiden MVP | 10/2/12 | 11.00 | 94 | ▲ +7.6 | 102 | 20 | |
| MID | Dest C TOP DMG | 4/5/14 | 3.60 | 2 | ▲ +2.4 | 4 | 7 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | 6/6/16 | 3.67 | 70 | ▲ +2.8 | 73 | 73 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 4/3/24 | 9.33 | 157 | ▲ +8.5 | 165 | 106 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dest | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold II | Platinum III |
| SOLO | ItzStallone | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Platinum II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO