05/19/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/20/2026, 3:21:44 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 36:52
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2776189319?t=01h28m11s @ 5291s
Balance Analysis
Based on 156 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 44
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Silver II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum I
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 79 · 61% favored
Draiden
OVR
Platinum II
ADC
Gold II PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold I
MID
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 53 · 58% favored
Dest
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Gold II
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TramboneKing
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 161 · 72% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -16.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo | Ratatoskr | 7 | 7 | 7 | 98 | -3.9 | 94 | 75 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Xbalanque | 5 | 8 | 5 | 39 | -3.1 | 36 | 145 |
| MID | ItzStallone C | Kukulkan | 1 | 2 | 7 | 74 | -2.1 | 72 | 33 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | Achilles | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -1.7 | 7 | 72 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Sobek | 2 | 11 | 5 | -12 | -5.3 | -18 | 14 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Mercury | 9 | 3 | 12 | 106 | +4.9 | 111 | 156 |
| ADC THIRD | Draiden | Medusa | 10 | 2 | 12 | 94 | +7.6 | 102 | 20 |
| MID | Dest C TOP DMG | Ah Puch | 4 | 5 | 14 | 2 | +2.4 | 4 | 7 |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | Baron Samedi | 6 | 6 | 16 | 70 | +2.8 | 73 | 73 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Geb | 4 | 3 | 24 | 157 | +8.5 | 165 | 106 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Dest | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold II | Platinum III |
| SOLO | ItzStallone | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Platinum II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Platinum II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum I | Platinum III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO