05/17/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/18/2026, 2:33:20 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:01
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2774658280?t=02h18m55s @ 8335s
Balance Analysis
Based on 145 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 67 · 59% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
KingBopBop
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 36 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Gold III
MID
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 81 · 61% favored
tutone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Poo Poo III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 13 · 52% favored
Sink
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
Poo Poo III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -27.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Awilix | 11 | 6 | 8 | 118 | -2.7 | 115 | 145 |
| ADC | KingBopBop C | Medusa | 7 | 10 | 8 | -13 | -5.8 | -19 | 3 |
| MID | Boolougames | Anubis | 3 | 8 | 7 | 59 | -7.2 | 52 | 62 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Thor | 1 | 9 | 11 | -85 | -2.8 | -88 | 81 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Sylvanus | 1 | 12 | 8 | -24 | -8.7 | -33 | 29 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +29.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Kali | 13 | 5 | 12 | 42 | +4.8 | 47 | 47 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Hou Yi | 14 | 5 | 16 | -10 | +5.6 | -5 | 136 |
| MID NEW | tutone | Janus | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 | +6.4 | 6 | 0 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Sink C | Artio | 7 | 4 | 18 | 8 | +6.5 | 14 | 13 |
| SUPPORT THIRD | OSteg | Cerberus | 5 | 6 | 28 | 21 | +6.7 | 27 | 63 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | KingBopBop | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit III |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | Diamond III | Gold II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | tutone | rookie | |
| ADC | iRoFFLe | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Gold III | Gold I |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze III | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | AlphaClaps | Silver II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- KingBopBop: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- Sink: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- tutone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS JUNGLE