05/14/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 2:10:00 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 32:40
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2772167687?t=03h57m15s @ 14235s
Balance Analysis
Based on 142 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 18
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 101 · 64% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Dog Shit II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 97 · 64% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Gold I
SOLO
timerrr
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Bronze III
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 150 · 70% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -28.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Thor | 7 | 9 | 8 | 135 | -4.6 | 131 | 142 |
| ADC | i cant read | Rama | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -6.6 | 8 | 28 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Agni | 3 | 7 | 6 | -89 | -6.1 | -95 | 78 |
| SOLO | timerrr C | Kukulkan | 6 | 8 | 4 | 32 | -6.3 | 26 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Ganesha | 0 | 8 | 9 | -7 | -4.8 | -12 | 26 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Loki | 10 | 6 | 9 | -9 | +1.9 | -7 | 133 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | TramboneKing | Cupid | 7 | 3 | 8 | -19 | +2.9 | -16 | 11 |
| MID | Boolougames | Discordia | 10 | 2 | 10 | 55 | +5.8 | 61 | 59 |
| SOLO | Horrify C TOP DMG | Anubis | 10 | 8 | 9 | -11 | +1.7 | -9 | 36 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Geb | 2 | 1 | 19 | 157 | +16.2 | 173 | 96 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Silver I | Gold I |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | TramboneKing | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | timerrr | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Amber I | Bronze III |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- timerrr: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: it feels like I'm trying to teach my son how to fucking play video games right now and he's 4
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: you are the worst 4k rated player thats ever played smite 2
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: WHY ARE YOU HOPPING AROUND???
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: I dont want roffle on my team anymore
- iRoFFLe [shitter]: bad all-around
- timerrr [weak3n_said]: WHY ARE WE FUCKIN KUKULKAN BLINKIN IN? - timer didnt blink