05/14/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/15/2026, 1:49:31 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 40:36
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2772167687?t=03h03m44s @ 11024s
Balance Analysis
Based on 141 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 48 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
OSteg
OVR
Amber II
MID
Dog Shit I
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
i cant read
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Horrify
OVR
Dog Shit II
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 124 · 67% favored
Draiden
OVR
Gold II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -24.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | ELLEONTTV C | Susano | 10 | 4 | 13 | 38 | -1.3 | 37 | 17 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Hou Yi | 5 | 13 | 9 | -75 | -13.3 | -89 | 77 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg TOP DMG | Atlas | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | -3.7 | 6 | 61 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | i cant read | Osiris | 5 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -3.9 | 14 | 27 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Yemoja | 1 | 5 | 20 | 160 | -2.5 | 157 | 95 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Amber II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | i cant read | Bronze III | Bronze III |
| MID | ELLEONTTV | Silver III | Silver III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo III | Amber III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Gold II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Dog Shit II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit II |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Obsidian II |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- OSteg: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- i cant read: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- iRoFFLe: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
Notes / Flags
- iRoFFLe [weak3n_said]: just fucking horrible