CHAOS WIN
05/10/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/11/2026, 12:28:27 PM
Kills
25 – 32
MVP · best KDA
ItzStallone 10/3/13
Biggest Elo gain
AlphaClaps +10.3
Biggest Elo drop
iRoFFLe -6.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 126 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 4
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Amber III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 81 · 61% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze III
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 87 · 62% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze I
SOLO
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Dog Shit II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 25 kills Team Δ -30.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 11/8/8 | 2.38 | 18 | ▼ -6.3 | 12 | 117 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 9/5/6 | 3.00 | 3 | ▼ -4.9 | -2 | 20 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 3/5/10 | 2.60 | 109 | ▼ -6.2 | 103 | 48 | |
| SOLO | Horrify | 2/6/11 | 2.17 | -13 | ▼ -6.2 | -19 | 29 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | iRoFFLe | 0/8/13 | 1.63 | 3 | ▼ -6.7 | -4 | 18 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +30.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 6/4/9 | 3.75 | 150 | ▲ +4.7 | 155 | 126 | |
| ADC | Tricky | 4/9/8 | 1.33 | -39 | ▲ +1.8 | -37 | 26 | |
| MID | ItzStallone MVP C | 10/3/13 | 7.67 | 65 | ▲ +9.6 | 74 | 27 | |
| SOLO THIRD | RogueThrone TOP DMG | 7/5/8 | 3.00 | -101 | ▲ +3.9 | -97 | 70 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | 5/4/21 | 6.50 | 26 | ▲ +10.3 | 36 | 40 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze III |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Gold III | Gold III |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC