CHAOS WIN
05/07/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/8/2026, 12:11:17 PM
Kills
33 – 37
MVP · best KDA
OSteg 8/4/16
Biggest Elo gain
Draiden +8.6
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -7.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 122 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 41
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Sink
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 65 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 93 · 63% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 31 · 54% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 106 · 65% favored
Draiden
OVR
Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 33 kills Team Δ -19.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | 14/10/11 | 2.50 | 12 | ▼ -2.2 | 10 | 11 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 2/5/7 | 1.80 | -6 | ▼ -7.1 | -13 | 16 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | 13/7/10 | 3.29 | 22 | ▼ -1.7 | 20 | 8 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 4/9/10 | 1.56 | 19 | ▼ -3.3 | 15 | 114 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 0/6/10 | 1.67 | 127 | ▼ -4.8 | 122 | 84 |
CHAOS (WIN) 37 kills Team Δ +26.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/8/17 | 3.13 | 142 | ▲ +3.8 | 145 | 122 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | OSteg MVP TOP DMG | 8/4/16 | 6.00 | -4 | ▲ +7.0 | 3 | 50 | |
| MID | Boolougames | 6/8/17 | 2.88 | 107 | ▲ +3.4 | 111 | 46 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | 9/8/14 | 2.88 | 79 | ▲ +3.7 | 82 | 64 | |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | 6/6/27 | 5.50 | 56 | ▲ +8.6 | 64 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ELLEONTTV | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Silver I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Gold I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond II | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Sink: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE