05/07/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/8/2026, 12:11:17 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 39:12
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2766670259?t=03h00m45s @ 10845s
Balance Analysis
Based on 122 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 41
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Sink
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 65 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
OSteg
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
ELLEONTTV
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 93 · 63% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum I
MID
Diamond III
SOLO
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Bronze III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 31 · 54% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold I
SOLO
Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
SUPPORT
Diamond I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 106 · 65% favored
Draiden
OVR
Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -19.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Sink | Hou Yi | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -2.2 | 10 | 11 |
| ADC | i cant read | Ullr | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | -7.1 | -13 | 16 |
| MID SECONDARY | ELLEONTTV | Poseidon | 13 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -1.7 | 20 | 8 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Artio | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19 | -3.3 | 15 | 114 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Odin | 0 | 6 | 10 | 127 | -4.8 | 123 | 84 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Rama | 8 | 8 | 17 | 142 | +3.8 | 145 | 122 |
| ADC SECONDARY | OSteg TOP DMG | Ishtar | 8 | 4 | 16 | -4 | +7.0 | 3 | 50 |
| MID | Boolougames | Eset | 6 | 8 | 17 | 107 | +3.4 | 111 | 46 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo C | Cabrakan | 9 | 8 | 14 | 79 | +3.7 | 82 | 64 |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | Charon | 6 | 6 | 27 | 56 | +8.6 | 64 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ELLEONTTV | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Boolougames | Platinum I | Diamond III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Silver I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Gold I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Poo Poo I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond II | Diamond I |
What changed vs actual draft
- ELLEONTTV: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Sink: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE