CHAOS WIN
05/05/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/6/2026, 7:24:00 PM
Kills
23 – 38
MVP · best KDA
sillyslother 2/3/17
Biggest Elo gain
sillyslother +10.4
Biggest Elo drop
Kryooo -7.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 107 prior matchesORDER
42% win prob
Δ 55
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
58% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 95% Order / 5% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 71 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Silver III
ADC
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 20 · 53% favored
Stych 99
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 66 · 59% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold III
MID
Bronze II
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 33 · 55% favored
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond III
SUPPORT
Diamond III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 51 · 57% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Gold III
ORDER (LOSS) 23 kills Team Δ -22.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | 12/10/4 | 1.60 | 38 | ▼ -4.8 | 33 | 99 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 3/9/8 | 1.22 | 38 | ▼ -7.3 | 31 | 50 | |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | 4/6/12 | 2.67 | -119 | ▼ -3.2 | -122 | 65 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | 2/6/6 | 1.33 | -36 | ▼ -2.7 | -39 | 25 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 2/7/8 | 1.43 | 113 | ▼ -4.5 | 109 | 72 |
CHAOS (WIN) 38 kills Team Δ +25.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 7/5/14 | 4.20 | 138 | ▲ +5.1 | 143 | 107 | |
| ADC | Stych 99 | 4/4/7 | 2.75 | -3 | ▲ +3.2 | 1 | 4 | |
| MID | ItzStallone C | 11/6/5 | 2.67 | 60 | ▲ +3.5 | 63 | 23 | |
| SOLO | Tametoy TOP DMG | 14/5/1 | 3.00 | 29 | ▲ +3.1 | 32 | 12 | |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother MVP | 2/3/17 | 6.33 | 85 | ▲ +10.4 | 96 | 61 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Bronze I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | sillyslother | Platinum III | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Stych 99 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze III |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | ItzStallone | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Silver III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tametoy: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- Stych 99: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO