05/03/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/4/2026, 1:43:49 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 27:13
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2763611684?t=01h25m40s @ 5140s
Balance Analysis
Based on 95 prior matchesORDER
39% win prob
Δ 80
CHAOS favored
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
61% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 12 · 52% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber I
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Giftie
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Zikze
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Bronze II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 90 · 63% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum I
SUPPORT
Diamond III
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +36.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Kali | 10 | 5 | 10 | 21 | +4.3 | 25 | 87 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Anhur | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | +4.9 | 25 | 46 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone C TOP DMG | Agni | 7 | 3 | 15 | -139 | +7.6 | -131 | 61 |
| SOLO | Giftie | Odin | 7 | 2 | 14 | 15 | +12.1 | 27 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 5 | 4 | 19 | 43 | +8.0 | 51 | 14 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -34.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Mordred | 6 | 5 | 5 | 82 | -2.6 | 79 | 53 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Sol | 4 | 6 | 2 | 141 | -2.7 | 138 | 95 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg C | Xbalanque | 0 | 8 | 3 | 26 | -17.0 | 9 | 47 |
| SOLO NEW | Zikze | Hua Mulan | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 | -6.3 | -1 | 1 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Aphrodite | 5 | 7 | 3 | 108 | -5.6 | 103 | 61 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Giftie | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Zikze | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Platinum I | Diamond III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Giftie: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Zikze: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: this build is just getting worse and fucking worse
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: This is criminal behavior
- OSteg [shitter]: horrible build