04/30/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 7:55:35 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 35:25
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2761100091?t=04h03m57s @ 14637s
Balance Analysis
Based on 93 prior matchesORDER
43% win prob
Δ 46
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
57% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber I
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
OSteg
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 26 · 54% favored
Spoon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Platinum III
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Gold I
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +33.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 17 | 6 | 9 | 21 | +3.7 | 25 | 85 |
| ADC | Kryooo TOP DMG | Ishtar | 8 | 8 | 14 | 18 | +2.1 | 20 | 45 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Morgan Le Fay | 10 | 2 | 11 | -152 | +8.6 | -144 | 59 |
| SOLO THIRD | OSteg | Gilgamesh | 2 | 3 | 19 | 25 | +6.7 | 32 | 45 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C | Ganesha | 0 | 2 | 22 | 79 | +12.7 | 91 | 59 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -28.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Horrify C | Susano | 6 | 6 | 5 | -9 | -2.7 | -11 | 27 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Sol | 5 | 7 | 7 | 146 | -3.0 | 143 | 93 |
| MID | Imdead | Sun Wukong | 5 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -3.1 | 2 | 6 |
| SOLO | Spoon | Pele | 3 | 8 | 4 | -10 | -11.1 | -21 | 3 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Cerberus | 1 | 12 | 10 | 86 | -8.2 | 78 | 51 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Spoon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold I | Platinum III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Poo Poo II | Bronze III |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Platinum III | Gold I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- Spoon: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- OSteg: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- Imdead: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Horrify: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO