04/30/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 3:57:06 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 36:25
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2761100091?t=03h17m25s @ 11845s
Balance Analysis
Based on 92 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 75 · 61% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 83 · 62% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber II
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Spoon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Amber I
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 94 · 63% favored
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -31.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ishtar | 7 | 8 | 6 | 152 | -6.0 | 146 | 92 |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | Cupid | 4 | 10 | 9 | -144 | -8.2 | -152 | 58 |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Janus | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -4.1 | 21 | 84 |
| SOLO NEW | Spoon | Cabrakan | 8 | 7 | 4 | -4 | -6.2 | -10 | 2 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Baron Samedi | 3 | 8 | 7 | 86 | -6.8 | 79 | 58 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg C | Da Ji | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | +4.5 | 25 | 44 |
| ADC | Kryooo | Apollo | 11 | 7 | 9 | 15 | +2.5 | 18 | 44 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 TOP DMG | Nut | 14 | 2 | 15 | 21 | +12.3 | 33 | 26 |
| SOLO | Horrify | Sun Wukong | 3 | 6 | 16 | -12 | +3.1 | -9 | 26 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Imdead | Yemoja | 1 | 3 | 22 | -4 | +8.9 | 5 | 5 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Platinum III | Platinum II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Amber I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Imdead: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Riptzer [weak3n_said]: i have a 0,1, and 0 support who is literally afk