CHAOS WIN
04/30/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 3:57:06 PM
Kills
23 – 39
MVP · best KDA
DeltaJulz613 14/2/15
Biggest Elo gain
DeltaJulz613 +12.3
Biggest Elo drop
RogueThrone -8.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 92 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 80% Order / 20% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 75 · 61% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 83 · 62% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber II
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 27 · 54% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Spoon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
Horrify
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Amber I
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 94 · 63% favored
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 23 kills Team Δ -31.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 7/8/6 | 1.63 | 152 | ▼ -6.0 | 146 | 92 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone C | 4/10/9 | 1.30 | -144 | ▼ -8.2 | -152 | 58 | |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 1/6/15 | 2.67 | 25 | ▼ -4.1 | 21 | 84 | |
| SOLO NEW | Spoon | 8/7/4 | 1.71 | -4 | ▼ -6.2 | -10 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 3/8/7 | 1.25 | 86 | ▼ -6.8 | 79 | 58 |
CHAOS (WIN) 39 kills Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg C | 10/5/17 | 5.40 | 20 | ▲ +4.5 | 25 | 44 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 11/7/9 | 2.86 | 15 | ▲ +2.5 | 18 | 44 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 MVP TOP DMG | 14/2/15 | 14.50 | 21 | ▲ +12.3 | 33 | 26 | |
| SOLO | Horrify | 3/6/16 | 3.17 | -12 | ▲ +3.1 | -9 | 26 | |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Imdead | 1/3/22 | 7.67 | -4 | ▲ +8.9 | 5 | 5 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Poo Poo III | Amber I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Platinum III | Platinum II |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Kryooo | Amber I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Spoon: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Imdead: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Riptzer [weak3n_said]: i have a 0,1, and 0 support who is literally afk