CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
04/30/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/1/2026, 3:21:01 PM
Kills
11 – 27
MVP · best KDA
Jordi 3/1/15
Biggest Elo gain
Jordi +11.2
Biggest Elo drop
Shmeep -11.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 90 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 32
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
55% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 39% Order / 61% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian I
JUNGLE
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 115 · 66% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Dog Shit I
ADC
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 33 · 55% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Poo Poo II
SOLO
Shmeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Jordi
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
OSteg
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 20 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 11 kills Team Δ -26.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | 2/8/1 | 0.38 | 168 | ▼ -8.7 | 159 | 90 | |
| ADC | RogueThrone TOP DMG F6er | 6/6/3 | 1.50 | -133 | ▼ -2.1 | -136 | 56 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Tricky C F6er | 3/4/2 | 1.25 | -37 | ▼ -2.7 | -40 | 18 | |
| SOLO NEW | Shmeep F6er | 0/4/1 | 0.25 | -1 | ▼ -11.3 | -12 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT THIRD | OSteg F6er | 0/5/5 | 1.00 | 22 | ▼ -1.2 | 20 | 43 |
CHAOS (WIN) 27 kills Team Δ +27.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother C STOMPER | 4/3/6 | 3.33 | 78 | ▲ +1.8 | 80 | 49 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer STOMPER | 10/4/8 | 4.50 | 71 | ▲ +2.5 | 73 | 56 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 STOMPER | 5/1/8 | 13.00 | 17 | ▲ +7.0 | 24 | 24 | |
| SOLO NEW | Jordi MVP STOMPER | 3/1/15 | 18.00 | 0 | ▲ +11.2 | 11 | 0 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 STOMPER | 5/2/10 | 7.50 | 12 | ▲ +4.7 | 17 | 20 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Gold II | Platinum III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OSteg | Bronze III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jordi | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Shmeep: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Tricky: ORDER MID → ORDER ADC
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- RogueThrone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- OSteg: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jordi: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
Notes / Flags
- Shmeep [shitter]: didnt rotate to fights
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: not having a stampede against their team is dumb as fuck
- OSteg [weak3n_said]: I don't think ayo has hit a stun this game
- OSteg [shitter]: bad build and many missed abilities